有一个未来：BBVA对更美好世界的愿景

Possible Futures and the Future We WantFrancisco GonzálezBBVA I. FUNDAMENTALS Futures Studies: Theories and MethodsSohail InayatullahMetafuture.org. Tamkang University. Macquarie University 37 15 Global Challenges for the Next DecadesJerome C. GlennThe Millennium Project 67 II. SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY The Past Is Prologue: the Future and the History of ScienceJosé Manuel Sánchez RonUniversidad Autónoma de Madrid. Real Academia de la Lengua Española97 The Future of Artificial Intelligence and CyberneticsKevin WarwickUniversity of Reading131 Paradise Lost? Paradise Regained? Nanotechnology, Man and MachineSandip TiwariCornell University153 Can Medicine Be Predictive?José M. MatoCIC bioGUNE 175 III. ENVIRONMENT System Shift: Pivoting Toward SustainabilityPaul D. RaskinTellus Institute 199 The Impact of Global Warming on the Distribution of Rainfall:A Historical PerspectiveWallace BroeckerColumbia University 223 Rethinking Urban Landscapes. Self-Supported Infrastructure,Technology and TerritoryMitchell Joachim and Melanie FesselTerreform ONE249 IV. GLOBAL SOCIETY The Challenges of the End of the Demographic TransitionJoaquín Vial, Clara Barrabés and Carola MorenoBanco Central de Chile, BBVA Research279 Predicting the Economic Future Through Convergence: The Case of ChinaDaniel AltmanNew York University309 The Future of International Relations: A Symbiotic Realism TheoryNayef Al-RodhanOxford University. Geneva Center for Security Policy325 The Future of Global Cooperation: What is missing? What could be successful?Claus LeggewieKulturwissenschaftliches Institut, Essen351 The Good Life: An International PerspectiveAmitai EtzioniGeorge Washington University 379 Futures of Education for Rapid Global-Societal ChangeJennifer M. GidleyRMIT University, Melbourne. World Futures Studies Federation 395 Imagining the Future. Leading the Way in a Changing World.Consumer Trends for The FutureAnne Lise KjaerKjaer Global421 VI. BBVA: ANTICIPATING THE FUTURE Vision 2020+ A Future to Be BuiltBeatriz A. Lara BartoloméBBVA Possible Futures and the FutureWe Want Francisco González>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> “Life is a series of collisions with the future;it is not the sum of what we have been, but what we yearn to be.”José Ortega y Gasset There’s a Future: Visions for a Better Worldis the fifth book in this annualseries that BBVA devotes to disseminating the best knowledge on thegreatest topics of our time. We launched our project in 2008 withFrontiers of Knowledge,whichexplored the recent advances and key challenges faced by scientificresearch in the eight areas recognized by the Frontiers of KnowledgeAwards, presented by the BBVA Foundation. This book was followed by editions dedicated toglobalization,a phenomenon that is vital to understanding our times;innovation,understood as the greatest factor able to help humanity tackle the hugeproblems we face and to improve our general quality of life; andethicsand values,because the changes our global society is undergoingrequire a review and reaffirmation of our ethical values in orderto guarantee balanced and sustainable development. Encouraged by how well our books were being received, we createdOpenMind (www.bbvaopenmind.com), an online community dedicatedto sharing and spreading knowledge. The contents of OpenMind are basedon the books we have published so far and on those we will publish in thefuture. This means our books are now at the fingertips of a much broaderand more varied public. These contents are supplemented by materialfrom other authors and readers, both specialist and non-specialist. But above all, OpenMind is a space to discover, discuss and generate new ideas in an open andmultidisciplinary setting. OpenMind is also available as an iPad App — completely free ofcharge, of course — and in the near future, it will exist in a format suitable for all typesof tablets and for mobiles. Little by little, this project is growing and reaching a larger audience. This fifth book, on thefuture, enriches it still further. This book presents a wide range of articles that encompass many different visionsof the future [...] It is a multidisciplinary cross-section designed to map out the basiclines along which our reality is changing and in which direction they are taking us [...]We believe that a better future for people is possible, and contributing to that futureis the cornerstone of our work WHY THE FUTURE? The main reason behind this theme is its coherence with our corporate cultural values, summedup in our vision:“BBVA, working towards a better future for people.” Clearly, this entails anticipa-ting the future. And to do this, we need to know the past and the present, detecting the trendsthat are shaping the future every step along the way. That is why at BBVA we give centre stage to knowledge as a tool for improving the future ofpeople. And ultimately, that is the justific