利比里亚经济更新，2025年9月：从稳定到包容：实现弹性增长和生产性就业的途径

© 2025. The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433Telephone: 202-473-1000; Internet: www.worldbank.org Some rights reservedThis work is a product of the staff of The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work.The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bankconcerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Rights and PermissionsThe material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: “Liberia Economic Update. © World Bank.” All queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. TABLE OF CONTENTS Abbreviations and Acronyms............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................iPreface and Acknowledgments.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................iiMain Messages.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................iiiBibliography........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................20Annex ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................21 PART ONE: RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS AND OUTLOOK........................................................................................................................................................1 A.Economic growth moderated in 2024 but remained broad-based and steady in 2024.................................................................................................1B.Inflation moderated in 2024, although upward pressures re-emerged in the final months of the year...........................................................2C.Poverty declined modestly in 2024 amid stable growth and lower inflation, but sustained progress will requiremore job creation and structural reforms...................................................................................................................................................................................................................3D.Monetary expansion slowed in 2024 as credit growth softened, while the financial sector benefited from rising reservesand improved liquidity despite worsening asset quality..............................................................................................................................................................................4E.Export growth accelerated in 2024 amid growing demand for gold, rubber, and cocoa, while a sharp decline in imports—especially of fuel and capital goods—helped narrow the trade deficit but may signal weakening investment activity...........5F.Liberia’s fiscal performance improved markedly in 2024, reflecting the government’s strong commitmentto enhanced domestic revenue mobilization, disciplined spending, and prudent debt management........................................................7G.Liberia’s economic outlook is positive, contingent on successful reforms and global economic trends..........................................................8 PART TWO: ESCAPING THE UNDEREMPLOYMENT TRAP: CHARTING LIBERIA’S PATH TO RESILIENT GROWTHAND PRODUCTIVE JOBS......................................................................................................................................................................................