移动投资缺口：太平洋岛国

The GSMA is a global organisation unifying the mobile ecosystem todiscover, develop and deliver innovation foundational to positive businessenvironments and societal change. Our vision is to unlock the full power ofconnectivity so that people, industry and society thrive. Representing mobileoperators and organisations across the mobile ecosystem and adjacentindustries, the GSMA delivers for its members across three broad pillars: GSMA Intelligence is the definitive source of global mobile operator data,analysis and forecasts, and publisher of authoritative industry reports andresearch. Our data covers every operator group, network and MVNO in every GSMA Intelligence is relied on by leading operators, vendors, regulators,financial institutions and third-party industry players, to support strategicdecision-making and long-term investment planning. The data is used as We invite you to find out more atgsma.comgsma.com Our team of analysts and experts produce regular thought-leading researchreports across a range of industry topics. www.gsmaintelligence.comwww.gsmaintelligence.cominfo@gsmaintelligence.cominfo@gsmaintelligence.com Authors Facundo Rattel, EconomistPau Castells, Head of Economic AnalysisYishen Chan, Director of Spectrum Policy and Regulatory Affairs (Asia Pacific) State of mobile internet in the Pacific Islands3 Quantifying the investment gap4 Policy enablers and recommendations5 A significant investment gap ahead Mobile connectivity underpins the digital transformation that candrive economic development and social progress. The PacificIslands region has experienced significant growth in mobileinternet connectivity levels in recent years. Between 2015 and Mobile operators will continue to improve mobile connectivity.However, under current market conditions, this progress will belimited and will likely fall significantly short of desired targets. •4G coverage gap– By 2030, 4G coverage in the Pacific Islands isexpected to increase by an additional 14 percentage points (pp),reaching 96% of the adult population. However, achieving 99%4G coverage will require an additional $250 million in funding. The mobile internet usage gap represents the biggest challenge.This refers to those not using the mobile internet despite living inareas with coverage. By 2024, almost 50% of the total population in 5G is in its infancy in the region, with coverage at less than 2%of the population and 5G accounting for less than 1% of total •4G usage gap– Under current market conditions, 4G adoptionis forecast to increase by almost 18 pp, reaching 41% by 2030.However, more than half the population in the Pacific islandswill remain unconnected. Achieving universal 4G connectivity •5G investment to enable digital transformation– There is a riskof significant delays to 5G deployment across many markets inthe region. By 2030, 5G population coverage is forecast to barelyexceed 30%, with adoption at around 15%. Achieving 50–90% 5G Policy enablers To unlock the full potential of connectivity in the Pacific Islands, the following policy enablers can serve as effective levers: •Incentivising investment and efficient network use– Withoutfurther investment, mobile network capacity will soon beconstrained, as total mobile data traffic will increase fivefold by2030. However, limited revenue disincentivises new deployments asit weakens return on investment (RoI). Government policies need to •The role of alternative technologies– By 2030, the coveragegap is forecast to be 4% in the Pacific Islands. Advancementsin satellite backhaul capacity and direct-to-device (D2D)connectivity will play a crucial role in addressing this gap. Thereis significant enthusiasm for driving technology forward, but •Affordability, adoption and digital trust– Several barriers preventthe adoption and use of mobile internet (e.g. lack of digital skills,affordability, safety and security concerns, and lack of relevantcontent in the local language). Furthermore, there remainstructural inequalities, such as differences in income/education,and social norms which translate into disparities in adoption •Spectrum management best practices– Effective spectrumlicensing is critical to encourage investment and ensure accessto sufficient spectrum resources for mobile networks. Spectrum Key numbers As of 2024, almost 4 million people (50%)in the Pacific Islands were not connecteddespite living within the footprint of a 3G+ 50%of the adult Closing the 4G coverage gap requiresadditional funding of $250 million.Bridging $1.8billion By the end of 2024, less than 1% of mobileconnections were 5G, with coverage Achieving 50–90% 5G coverage will requireinvestment of $80–320 million to unlock the CONTENTS State of mobile internet in the Pacific Islands3 Quantifying the investment gap4 Policy enablers and recommendations5 Methodology and supporting analysis6 The Pacific Islands and its digital nations journey The widespread adoption of mobile technolog