您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。[财通证券]:金融工程专题报告:深度学习因子选股体系 - 发现报告

金融工程专题报告:深度学习因子选股体系

2025-08-01-财通证券陈***
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金融工程专题报告:深度学习因子选股体系

金融工程专题报告/2025.08.01 证券研究报告 核心观点 分析师缪铃凯SAC证书编号:S0160525060003miaolk@ctsec.com 特征提取:基于“时序+截面”的基础架构,我们设计了五类差异化类网络结构,这些网络对同一输入能得到低相关因子输出。基于日度行情、分钟行情以及手工特征三类数据,我们训练了10个模型,模型间平均相关性仅55%。 Alpha信号:基于线性等权、树模型与专家网络三类加权方式,我们将数百个神经网络特征集成为alpha信号。综合因子自2019年以来5日IC均值为13.3%,10日IC均值为15.0%,多头组合超额收益为49.0%。 相关报告 1.《 指 增 组 合 本 周 全 面 跑 赢 基 准 》2025-07-272.《中证1000增强今年超额收益9.9%》2025-07-193.《沪深300增强今年超额收益9.8%》2025-07-13 ❖风险模型:相较于传统barra等风险模型基于投资逻辑构建风险特征,我们用神经网络通过端到端学习模式直接从原始量价数据中识别高维非线性风险模式。风险因子长期不暴露alpha,同时表现出对截面收益的高解释能力。 ❖指增策略:基于深度学习alpha信号与风险特征,我们构建系列指增策略: 1.自2019年以来,沪深300指数增强组合年化收益为18.2%,相比于沪深300指数的超额收益为14.2%,跟踪误差为4.5%; 2.中证500指数增强组合年化收益为22.4%,相比于中证500指数的超额收益为17.2%,跟踪误差为4.8%;3.中证1000指数增强组合年化收益为29.8%,相比于中证1000指数的超额收益为24.5%,跟踪误差为5.4%。 ❖风险提示:因子失效风险、模型失效风险、市场风格变动风险 内容目录 1深度学习选股策略..................................................................................................42数据与网络...........................................................................................................52.1数据输入...........................................................................................................52.2网络结构...........................................................................................................62.3模型训练...........................................................................................................72.4日度行情...........................................................................................................82.5分钟行情..........................................................................................................132.6统计指标..........................................................................................................153alpha模型..........................................................................................................163.1简单等权..........................................................................................................163.2树模型加权.......................................................................................................173.3网络加权..........................................................................................................193.4综合信号.........................................................................................................204风险模型.............................................................................................................215指数增强组合......................................................................................................225.1沪深300指数增强...........................................................................................235.2中证500指数增强...........................................................................................245.3中证1000指数增强..........................................................................................256风险提示............................................................................................................26 图表目录 图1:日行情因子相关性...........................................................................................13图2:模型相关性....................................................................................................16图3:树模型加权因子多头........................................................................................18图4:风险因子IC序列............................................................................................21图5:沪深300增强组合净值..................................................................................23图6:中证500增强组合净值..................................................................................24 表1:日度行情模型1(30日)..................................................................................8表2:日度行情模型1(150日)................................................................................8表3:日度行情模型2...............................................................................................9表4:日度行情模型3..............................................................................................10表5:日度行情模型4..............................................................................................11表6:日度行情模型5..............................................................................................12表7:2小时行情模型..............................................................................................14表8:半小时行情模型..............................................................................................14表9:日/分钟行情因子相关性....................................................................................14表10:简单统计特征.............................................................................................15表11:选股因子特征.............................................................................................15表12:等权因子绩效.............................................................................................16表13:集成因子绩效(1年训练集).........................................................................17表14:集成因子绩效(3年训练集).........................................................................17表15:树模型加权因子绩效.....................