您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [西南证券]:AI GPU潜力可期,PC拐点或至 - 发现报告

AI GPU潜力可期,PC拐点或至

2025-07-22 杨镇宇,王湘杰 西南证券 王泰华
报告封面

请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分西 南证券研究院[Table_Author]分析师:王湘杰执业证号:S1250521120002电话:0755-26671517邮箱:wxj@swsc.com.cn分析师:杨镇宇执业证号:S1250517090003电话:023-67563924邮箱:yzyu@swsc.com.cn[Table_QuotePic]相 对指数表现数据来源:Wind基 础数据[Table_BaseData]52周区间(美元)3个月平均成交量(百万)流通股数(亿)市值(亿美元)相 关研究[Table_Report]有望为公司贡献更多业绩弹性。增长态势,年复合增速19%左右。持3%左右的复合增长。期;AI进展或不及预期;竞争加剧的风险。2023A2024A2027E22680.0025785.0043943.52-3.90%13.69%15.11%GAAP净利润(百万美元)854.001641.007394.16-35.30%92.15%33.68%0.531.014.56Non-GAAP净利润(百万美元)4302.005420.0011430.00-21.84%25.99%19.85%1.53%2.85%10.01%301.17155.1334.4359.1846.9722.27数据来源:公司公告,西南证券 投资要点[Table_Summary]指标/年度营业收入(百万美元)增长率增长率每股收益EPS增长率净资产收益率PE(GAAP)PE(Non-GAAP) 78.21-172.80 46.6016.212509 目录1全球计算芯片领先企业,数据中心业务增长亮眼.............................................................................................................................12数据中心GPU潜力可期,CPU份额不断提升.....................................................................................................................................22.1数据中心业务快速增长,打造AI全栈产品组合.........................................................................................................................22.2 AI GPU产品线迎来升级,潜力可期.................................................................................................................................................32.3数据中心CPU竞争力大幅提升,市场份额突破40%.................................................................................................................63PC行业周期边际上行,相关业务或重回增长轨道.............................................................................................................................84盈利预测与投资建议...................................................................................................................................................................................9 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 图目录图1:AMD营收(亿美元)及增速.............................................................................................................................................................1图2:AMD净利润(亿美元)及增速........................................................................................................................................................1图3:AMD业务结构(年度)......................................................................................................................................................................2图4:AMD业务结构(季度)......................................................................................................................................................................2图5:AMD数据中心业务年度表现(亿美元)......................................................................................................................................2图6:AMD数据中心业务季度表现(亿美元)......................................................................................................................................2图7:AMD数据中心产品组合......................................................................................................................................................................3图8:AMD主要云合作伙伴..........................................................................................................................................................................3图9:AMD MI 350系列性能表现.................................................................................................................................................................4图10:AMD MI350系列集成机架解决方案(液冷和风冷方案)......................................................................................................4图11:AMD MI系列GPU规格及与英伟达产品对标.............................................................................................................................5图12:AMD GPU产品Roadmap...................................................................................................................................................................5图13:ROCm7.0框架和最新功能...............................................................................................................................................................6图14:AMD ROCm代际间性能提升显著...................................................................................................................................................6图15:AMD EPYC(霄龙)处理器系列......................................................................................................................................................6图16:AMDEPYC(霄龙)产品性能对比..................................................................................................................................................7图17:AMD在数据中心CPU的市占率已达40%...................................................................................................................................7图18:AMD与Intel数据中心业务收入对比(亿美元).....................................................................................................................7图19:全球PC当季出货量.....................................................................................................................................................................