银色经济

This study was carried out for the European Commission bytechnopolis |group| United Kingdominfo@technopolis-group.comwww.technopolis-group.comInternal identificationContract number: 30-CE-0743335/00-38SMART number: 2015/0038DISCLAIMERBythe European Commission,Directorate-General of Communications Networks,Content & Technology.The information and views set out in this publication are those of the author(s) and donot necessarily reflect the official opinion of the Commission. The Commission does notguarantee the accuracy of the data included in this study. Neither the Commission norany person acting on the Commission’s behalf may be held responsible for the use whichmay be made of the information contained therein.ISBN 978-92-79-76911-5doi:10.2759/685036© European Union, 2018. All rights reserved. Certain parts are licensed under conditionsto the EU.Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. Acknowledgements:The authors would like to thank all members of the community that participated via anonline platform, interviews, a survey, and the Growing the Silver Economy workshop inBrussels. Additionally, we would like to thank Graham Worsley for his expert advice, HannesLeo from cbased, Matt Tinsley and Jess Prendergrast from Oxford Economics, and thefollowing colleagues from Technopolis for their contribution to this study: Victoria Blessing,Célia Couchot, Dakota Glasgow, Ben Kokkeler, Adam Krčal, Bea Mahieu, Frederic Maier,Kalle Nielsen, Ivette Oomens, Martijn Poel, Léonor Rivoire, Jasper Schipper, Miriam Terrell,Johanna Vallistu, and Eleonora Zoboli. We are also grateful to Horst Kraemer, Peter Wintlev-Jensen and Miguel Gonzalez-Sancho from the European Commission DG CONNECT for theiradvice and support throughout the study.Peter Varnai (Technopolis)Paul Simmonds (Technopolis)Kristine Farla (Technopolis)Henry Worthington (Oxford Economics) Table of Contents1Introduction ...........................................................................................................................62Estimating the potential size of the EU Silver Economy ......................................................82.1Summary of key findings ................................................................................................................................82.2EU-wide impact ..............................................................................................................................................92.2.1Private consumption...................................................................................................................................92.2.2Public sector consumption .........................................................................................................................92.2.3Economic impact ......................................................................................................................................102.3The Silver Economy by country....................................................................................................................102.3.1Private consumption patterns ..................................................................................................................102.3.2Public consumption patterns ....................................................................................................................112.3.3Consumption patterns over time .............................................................................................................122.3.4Economic impact ......................................................................................................................................132.3.5Import content of Silver Economy.......................................................................................................142.4Analysis by type of product and service .......................................................................................................142.4.1Private sector purchases ...........................................................................................................................142.4.2Public service expenditure........................................................................................................................172.4.3Economic impact by sector.......................................................................................................................182.4.4Forecast future trends ..............................................................................................................................192.4.5Impact of policy changes ..........................................................................................................................193Challenges and opportunities ..............................................................................................213.1Health and social services.............................................................................................