AI智能总结
PREPARED FORV2G BUSINESS, POLICY ANDTECHNOLOGY FORUM PRESENTED BYKATE PETERS MAY 8, 2025 Electric vehicles as grid assets – why now?Electric vehicles as grid assets – why now? Today’s electric system is facing unprecedentedchanges: Rapid load growth fueled by data centers andelectrification – much of which is uncertainDistribution system strain driven by geographicallyconcentrated electrificationRising cost of capacity resources due to tariffs,global supply chain constraints, and unanticipateddemandHigh electric rates (especially in California!)Long development lead times plagued byinterconnection queue backlogsIncreased reliance on carbon-free resources, drivenby costs and clean energy policiesOrganic growth in consumer adoption of EVs Note: National coincident peak demand is based on sum of peaks across FERC regions. Source:DOE VPP Liftoff Report (2023). Historical energy demand sourced from AEO. Coincident peakdemand (point-in-time peak, not total energy consumption) estimated by The Brattle Group(2023) based on forecasted total energy consumption sourced from OP-NEMS mid-casescenario. This mid-case scenario includes increasing consumption from industrial electrificationand electrification of HVAC; however, the EVs contribute the most demand to coincident peakaccording to estimated hourly consumption patterns that will vary by region. EV batteries can provide valuable grid services to meet today’s challenges For EV owners, is it all about the money? Compensation structures need to effectively incentivize drivers to transform their vehicles into grid assets. Kate Peters Kate.Peters@Brattle.comENERGY RESEARCH ASSOCIATE | NEW YORK KatePetersfocusesonstrategicplanningandregulatoryissuesrelatedtoan increasingly decarbonized electric power system.She hassupportedutilities,renewabledevelopers,researchorganizations,andtechnologycompanies in matters related to resource planning,capacityexpansionmodeling,electrificationgrid-impactstudies,andtheemerging role of virtual power plants(VPPs)in decarbonizedmarkets. NewYork,assessingthemarketopportunityforVPPdeploymentinCalifornia,andmodelingelectrificationscenariostoinformclimatepolicydecisionsinMaryland.Sheadditionallyhasexpertiseincapacityexpansionmodeling,usingBrattle’sin-housemodel(gridSIM)toleadutilityintegratedresourceplanningstudiesandeconomicanalysesofgenerationresources. Ms.PetersholdsaB.A.inEnvironmentalEconomicswithaminorinMathematicsfromMiddleburyCollege. Ms.Peters has contributed to high-profile studies assessing theeconomicviabilityofdistributedenergyresources,modelingthegridimpactsofelectrification,andevaluatingtheroleofdemandflexibilityinmitigating peak load growth.Her recent consulting experienceincludesestimatingthecost-effectivepotentialforgridflexibilityin The views expressed in this presentation are strictly those of the presenter and do not necessarily state of reflect the views of The Brattle Group or its clients. Further Reading: Recent Brattle Studies on EV Grid Flexibility Hledik, Ryan, Akhilesh Ramakrishnan, Serena Patel, and Andy Satchwell,“Distributed Energy, Utility Scale: 30 Proven Strategies to Increase VPPEnrollment,” prepared for U.S. DOE, December 2024. Hledik, Ryan, Ahmad Faruqui, and Tony Lee, “The National Potential for LoadFlexibility,” Brattle report, June 2019. Langevin, Jared, Aven Satre-Meloy, Andrew Satchwell, Ryan Hledik, JuliaOlszewski, Kate Peters, and Handi Chandra Putra, “The Role of Buildings inU.S. Energy System Decarbonization by Mid-Century,” October 2022. Hledik, Ryan, and Kate Peters, “Real Reliability: The Value of Virtual Power,”prepared for Google, May 2023. Hledik, Ryan, Kate Peters, and Sophie Edelman, “California’s Virtual PowerPotential: How Five Consumer Technologies Could Improve the State’sEnergy Affordability,” prepared for GridLab, April 2024. Sergici, Sanem, Akhilesh Ramakrishnan, Kate Peters, Ryan Hledik, MichaelHagerty, Ethan Snyder, Julia Olszewski, and Hazel Ethier, “An Assessment ofElectrification Impacts on the Maryland Electric Grid,” Brattle report for theMaryland Public Service Commission, December 2023. Hledik, Ryan, Akhilesh Ramakrishnan, Kate Peters, Ryan Nelson, XanderBartone, “Xcel Energy Colorado Demand Response Study: Opportunities in2030,” prepared for Xcel Energy, June 2022. US Department of Energy, “A National Roadmap for Grid-Interactive EfficientBuildings,” prepared by Berkeley Lab, The Brattle Group, Energy Solutions,and Wedgemere Group, May 2021. Hledik, Ryan, Akhilesh Ramakrishnan, Kate Peters, Sophie Edelman, AlisonSavage Brooks, “New York’s Grid Flexibility Potential,” prepared for NYSERDAand NY Dept. of Public Service, January 2025.