邀请：分析师访问巴克莱：分析师技能何时能更好地预测市场走势？

•Our performance improvement on predicting revenue:a 2% reduction in RMSE across 20•years of the S&P 1500 and a 17% reduction in RMSE for six years of the S&P 500.Relevant ResearchData Science Methods: All the small things: Incorporating analyst skill improvespredictions across 20 years of the S&P 1500, 29 May 2025.Data Science Methods: Don't weight up (or down), 24 April 2025.Data Science Methods: When you're right, you're right: Accounting for analyst skill betterpredicts market movements, 17 March 2025.Meet the AnalystsAdam Lauretig, PhD, is Vice President and a member ofBarclays Research Data Science team, based in New York.With a focus on causal inference and Bayesian statistics,he uses data science models and tools to extractinformation from alternative data sources. He has workedextensively with hiring data, using job postings tounderstand dynamics related to ESG, AI, and other topics.Adam joined Barclays in April 2020 from JUST Capital,which creates ESG rankings; he was their first datascientist. In academic publications in both the politicalscience and computer science fields, Adam has developedand applied natural language processing and causalinference techniques. He received his PhD in PoliticalScience from the Ohio State University and his BA inPolitical Science from Grinnell College.View Analyst PageVincenzo Pota is a Director on the Barclays Research DataScience team, based in London. He specialises ininformation extraction from big data and alternative datausing cutting-edge data science techniques. Prior toentering finance, Vincenzo worked as a data scientist for ITconsulting firms where he modelled customer behaviourusing machine learning. He received a PhD in Astrophysicsfrom the Swinburne University of Melbourne, and was aresearcher at the University of California Santa Cruz.View Analyst Page Adam Lauretig(ii)+1 212 526 7823BCI, USRyan Preclaw is the head of Investment Sciences, a groupthat creates investment insights by combining alternativedata, data science, and traditional research. Previously, hewas a Director in Credit Strategy, where he focused onspecial situations, event-driven strategies, and industriesfacing fundamental transitions. Ryan has also worked as acoverage banker in Barclays' Communications and Mediagroup. Prior to joining Barclays, Ryan worked as aneconomist at NERA Economic Consulting and LondonEconomics International. Ryan received his M.B.A. fromthe University of Chicago in 2008, his M.A. from WesternUniversity in 2001, and his B.A. from the University ofAlberta in 2000.View Analyst PageThis event is intended for Barclays institutional investor clients only. This event is strictly and solelyfor the benefit of the intended recipients. Please do not forward this invitation to any other partywithout written consent from Barclays Research. Barclays' Investment Bankers are permitted toattend this event. Participant comments are not for attribution.If your firm is in-scope for research unbundling under MiFID II and you require further informationregarding pricing to participate in this Barclays Research content event, please contact your salesBarclays Capital Inc. and/or one of itsaffiliatesdoes and seeks to do business with companies coveredin its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict ofinterest that couldaffectthe objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only asingle factor in making their investment decision.This author is a member of the Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities Research departmentand is not an equity or debt research analyst.This author is a registered US equity research analyst who is subject to US FINRA Rule 2241 and whomay write debt research under FINRA Rule 2242.Any views or opinions by Barclays research analysts have been previously published in researchreports available to our clients on Barclays Live. Click here to view the guide to the Barclaysfundamental equity research rating system. Vincenzo Pota+44 (0)20 3134 2097Barclays, UKRyan Preclaw+1 212 412 2249BCI, USData ScienceInvestment Sciencesrepresentative.(ii)(v) (ii)(v) For analyst certifications and important disclosures including, where applicable, foreignaffiliatedisclosures, and the date and time when the production of each recommendation was completed andfirst disseminated, please refer to the full document(s) included in this email or go to our Researchportal on Barclays Live. To access conflict of interest disclosures relating to issuers covered byBarclays Research, please see https://publicresearch.barclays.com.Barclays Events Terms of Service | Barclays Events Privacy NoticeDisclaimer:BARCLAYSThis communication has been prepared by Barclays.“Barclays” means any entity within the Barclays Group of companies, where “Barclays Group” meansBarclays Bank PLC, Barclays PLC and any of their subsidiaries,affiliates,ultimate holding companyand any subsidiaries oraffiliatesof such holding company.CONFLICTS