特朗普再度呼吁美联储降息,国内4月LPR按兵不动 2025-04-22 宏观策略(黄金) 特朗普再度呼吁美联储降息 金价涨超3%持续创新高,特朗普对鲍威尔和降息的言论增加了市场对美联储独立性的担忧,叠加贸易战的持续,美国经济衰退风险增加,股债汇三杀的情况下黄金获得资金持续流入 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 美国贸易代表:与印度敲定互惠贸易谈判框架 特朗普再度抨击鲍威尔,批评鲍威尔降息速度太慢,引发市场继续剧烈波动,风险偏好走低,美元维持弱势。 宏观策略(国债期货) 4月LPR按兵不动 LPR按兵不动,宽货币预期下修导致市场调整。展望后市,利多是长期的、确定的,利空只是短暂的扰动。 农产品(豆粕) 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 美豆种植率快于预期 美豆种植率快于市场预期,USDA周度出口检验报告符合预期。国内进口大豆成本变动不大,供需错配导致近三周油厂豆粕库存连续大幅下降,现货短期表现坚挺。 有色金属(碳酸锂) 3月中国锂辉石进口53.45万实物吨,环比2月减少6% 短期建议关注仓单变动节奏、以及5月下游排产情况,策略上依旧建议以偏空思路对待。 能源化工(液化石油气) 卫星PDH装置检修 沙特阿美5月C3装船缩量支撑CP走强,远东需求存转弱预期。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................51.4、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................51.5、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油).........................................................................................................................................72.3、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.4、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................82.5、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................92.6、农产品(玉米)..............................................................................................................................................................102.7、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................102.8、有色金属(碳酸锂)......................................................................................................................................................112.9、有色金属(多晶硅)......................................................................................................................................................112.10、有色金属(工业硅)....................................................................................................................................................122.11、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................122.12、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................132.13、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................142.14、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................142.15、能源化工(沥青)........................................................................................................................................................152.16、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................152.17、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................162.18、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................162.19、能源化工(苯乙烯)....................................................................................................................................................16 2.20、能源化工(瓶片).............................................................................................................................