
美联储按兵不动,央行连续两交易日通过逆回购净投放资金 2025-03-20 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 美联储按兵不动预测今年经济增长放缓而通胀上升 美联储3月利率会议开始出现较为明显的变化,对于滞胀的担忧上升,缩表放缓,市场风险偏好回升,美元指数震荡。 宏观策略(股指期货) 住建部:从供需两端发力推动市场止跌回稳 市场呈现出明显的风格切换,突出表现为港股恒生科技跌幅大于A股、A股内部AI链条开始回撤。市场情绪逐渐冷静,建议将配置头寸转向顺周期大盘蓝筹股指。 宏观策略(国债期货) 央行开展了2959亿元7天期逆回购操作 央行连续两个交易日通过逆回购净投放资金,这应只是税期呵护资金面的操作,资金面状态还需要持续观察。 农产品(豆粕) 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 USDA周度出口销售报告前瞻 巴西CNF升贴水坚挺但CBOT大豆相对疲弱,国内进口大豆成本变动不大。由于未来进口大豆到港及豆粕供应趋于宽松,下游成交意愿极低。 黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭) 吕梁市场冶金焦价格暂稳运行 短期来看,随着铁水上升加之供应边际减量,焦煤现货价格或有企稳趋势,盘面跟随窄幅波动为主。 能源化工(液化石油气) 美国C3库存降至季节性低位 美国C3库存降至季节性低位,本土基本面偏紧。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、宏观策略(黄金)............................................................................................................................................................41.2、宏观策略(美国股指期货)............................................................................................................................................41.3、宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))..................................................................................................................................41.4、宏观策略(股指期货)....................................................................................................................................................51.5、宏观策略(国债期货)....................................................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、农产品(豆粕)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、农产品(棉花)................................................................................................................................................................72.3、农产品(玉米淀粉)........................................................................................................................................................72.4、农产品(玉米)................................................................................................................................................................82.5、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.6、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................92.7、黑色金属(动力煤)........................................................................................................................................................92.8、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................92.9、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................102.10、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................102.11、有色金属(铅)............................................................................................................................................................102.12、有色金属(锌)............................................................................................................................................................112.13、有色金属(碳酸锂)....................................................................................................................................................122.14、有色金属(镍)............................................................................................................................................................122.15、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................132.16、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................132.17、能源化工(烧碱)........................................................................................................................................................132.18、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................142.19、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................14 2.20、能源化工(苯乙烯).......................................................................................................