证券研究报告 2024年08月05日 行业研究 本期内容提要: ➢周观点:当前医药估值处于低位,同时2024Q3医疗器械及院内药品标的业绩有望修复,此外当前2024Q2医药持仓比例较低(赛道不拥挤),叠加促进服务消费高质量发展的相关政策催化,我们建议当前重点关注医药行业整体投资机会,相关投资条线包括: 唐爱金医药首席分析师执业编号:S1500523080002联系电话:18520180246邮箱:tangaijin@cindasc.com ➢1)“养老托育消费”涉及银发经济和家居适老概念:①建议关注康复医疗设备企业,如翔宇医疗、伟思医疗、诚益通、普门科技等;②建议关注带疱疫苗标的,如智飞生物、百克生物;③建议家用品牌器械企业,如鱼跃医疗、三诺生物、可孚医疗等。 ➢2)“健康消费”涉及体检、互联网医疗、中药、零售药店等:①大健康体检美年健康、互联网医疗阿里健康、京东健康等;②中医药方面,建议关注太极集团、健民集团、佐力药业、方盛制药、达仁堂等。③零售药店方面,建议关注益丰药房、健之佳等。 史慧颖医药行业分析师执业编号:S1500523080003邮箱:shihuiying@cindasc.com 曹佳琳医药行业分析师执业编号:S1500523080011邮箱:caojialin@cindasc.com ➢3)国债支持设备以旧换新拉动采购需求:建议关注联影医疗、迈瑞医疗、开立医疗、澳华内镜、祥生医疗、海泰新光、理邦仪器。 ➢4)细分赛道下半年业绩有望反转:①低值耗材海外去库存结束,订单开始修复:建议关注英科医疗、振德医疗、维力医疗;②呼吸机海外去库存结束订单修复:美好医疗、怡和嘉业;③第三方医学诊断服务,经营下半年有望企稳,建议关注金域医学、迪安诊断、凯普生物。 执业编号:S1500523080011联系电话:15112098939章钟涛医药行业分析师执业编号:S1500524030003邮箱:zhangzhongtao@cindasc.com ➢5)全产业链支持创新药政策春风:关注信达生物、康方生物、先声药业、三生药业、艾迪药业、泽璟制药、康诺亚。 ➢6)关注上游原料药海外补库存:①特色原料药或者GLP1多肽原料药,关注华海药业、奥锐特、海普瑞、诺泰生物、圣诺生物;②维生素涨价,关注新和成、浙江医药、金达威、新天药业、花园生物等。 ➢风险因素:改革进度不及预期;销售不及预期;临床数据不及预期;集采降价幅度高于预期;市场竞争加剧。 信达证券股份有限公司CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B座邮编:100031 目录 1、医药行业周观点..................................................................................................................................................................................................41.1本周行情及本周重点关注新闻政策动态......................................................................................................................................................41.2核心观点.........................................................................................................................................................................................................42、医药板块走势与估值..........................................................................................................................................................................................53、行情跟踪..............................................................................................................................................................................................................63.1行业周度涨跌幅............................................................................................................................................................................................63.2行业月度涨跌幅............................................................................................................................................................................................73.3子行业相对估值............................................................................................................................................................................................73.4子行业涨跌幅................................................................................................................................................................................................83.5医药板块个股周涨跌幅................................................................................................................................................................................84、关注个股:最近一周涨跌幅及估值................................................................................................................................................................105、行业及公司动态................................................................................................................................................................................................11 表目录 表1:医药生物指数涨跌幅...................................................................................................................................................................................5表2:医药生物指数动态市盈率(单位:倍)...................................................................................................................................................5表3:医药生物关注个股-涨跌幅及估值动态....................................................................................................................................................10表4:近期行业&政策要闻梳理..........................................................................................................................................................................11表5:周重要上市公司公告.................................................................................................................................................................................11 图目录 图1:医药生物指数走势..........................................................................................................................................5图2:沪深300行业PE指数(单位:倍)......................................................................................................6图3:医药生物指数PE走势(单位:倍)......................................................................................................6图5:医药生物板块一周涨幅排序.....................................................................................................................6图4:医药生物板块一月涨幅排序..................................................