The 2008 Christmas Trading Report by OC&C, as published in Retail Week on January 30, 2009, revealed that the festive season was better than anticipated, despite predictions to the contrary. While overall sales saw a 3.3% decrease compared to the previous year, attributed by the British Retail Consortium's retail sales monitor, most businesses maintained a stable financial footing due to the ongoing employment situation, reduced mortgage payments, and the necessity to purchase gifts.
However, the true picture would be clearer once profit figures were disclosed, considering the significant discounting activities that affected profit margins. The report highlighted that the retail market dynamics favored stronger players, as consumers, facing budget constraints, shifted their purchasing preferences towards retailers offering better value, quality, and service. This led to a widening gap between successful and struggling retailers.
Online retailers demonstrated exceptional resilience, with platforms such as Asos, Game, Play.com, Shop Direct, Ocado, and others showing impressive growth. Nonetheless, Grant Thornton's head of retail services, David Bush, observed that the pace of online growth had slowed, with IMRG's December online sales figures increasing by 14.2%, a significant decrease from the previous year's 50% growth.
Supermarkets experienced a positive impact, benefiting from the perception of value provided by their non-food offerings. Despite Tesco's weaker sales, the largest grocery chain still achieved a 2.5% like-for-like increase. This success was attributed to the ability of supermarkets to communicate value effectively, though it was also influenced by inflation.
The middle-market segment faced considerable challenges, with a notable decline in growth due to shifting shopping habits among financially constrained families. However, Next's performance, although negative in like-for-like sales and overall growth, remained relatively stable in terms of profitability due to effective margin management.
The luxury market showed signs of weakening, as indicated by Theo Fennell's 21% drop in like-for-like sales over 13 weeks and Burberry's 3% decrease following robust trading statements. The report concluded that younger consumers continued to spend, leading to a successful Christmas for brands targeting this demographic, such as New Look, JD Sports, Blue Inc, Asos, and Republic. Meanwhile, Mothercare's solid performance suggested that parents still allocated funds for their children's purchases.
Debenhams' robust sales performance amidst expectations of a significant downturn was seen as a commendable achievement. Comet's like-for-like sales decline of 2.5% compared to DSGi's 12% slump could be attributed to Comet's investment in customer service and a higher proportion of larger stores, which contributed to a wider product range.
The report emphasized the importance of a strong multichannel presence for retailers to succeed in the current market climate. It also stressed the need for retailers to manage margins carefully and ensure that customers perceive the value they receive for the price paid. Looking ahead, retailers were advised to be cautious, as trading conditions would remain challenging, leading to thinner margins. The perception of price and the effectiveness of a multichannel strategy would be crucial for success in the upcoming festive season.
圣诞交易
圣诞节被包装起来
疯狂的节日已经过去,许多零售商都松了一口气。夏洛特·哈迪在OC&C的圣诞节交易指数的帮助下,研究了几周令人不安的关键主题
鉴于零售商每天都在大幅削减价格?在圣诞节前的最后几天和之后的头几天,讨价还价导致了大量的客流量。正如判决咨询总监尼尔·桑德斯所说:“收益是在当天很晚的时候取得的。”
它比恐惧更好
与Scrooges的悲观预测相反,圣诞节总体上并不是一场大屠杀。
Morrisos和Saisbry 's这样的零售商传达了强烈的价值信息,他们的销售也很活跃。“他们以这样一种方式推动这一信息,消费者觉得他们以一个好的价格获得了质量。“相比之下,玛莎百货食品的销售-以高价而闻名-在同类食品中下降了5.2%。
诚然,根据BRC的零售销售监测,已经有人员伤亡,同类销售额下降了3.3%,因此并不是特别好,但正如零售知识银行高级合伙人罗伯特·克拉克所说:“事实是,零售销售通常不会跌落悬崖。大多数人仍然有工作,许多人的抵押贷款付款下降了,人们收到了礼物但OC & C合伙人Tom Gladstone补充说,当利润数据公布时,真实情况将会出现。“折扣金额将影响利润率,”他说。
赢家和输家
格拉德斯通说:“艰难的市场条件造就了强大的参与者。”当消费者考虑更多购买时,可能会导致赢家和输家之间的分裂。普华永道英国零售和消费者领袖马克·哈德森说:“人们有有限的
在线净收益
Asos,游戏,游戏。com、Shop Direct、Ocado,名单还在继续。今年,OC&C将在线零售商放在单独的表格中,因为他们的零售额与喜欢的商店相比并不公平。在一个列表中查看它们,它们的力量变得更加明显。但是,格兰特·桑顿零售服务主管大卫·布什(David Bsh)并不想抑制情绪,指出在线增长已经放缓。IMRG 12月在线销售数据增长了14.2%,但前一年飙升了50%以上。即使是看似无法触及的在线世界也无法幸免于艰难的交易。
花费大量的金钱,以便他们去他们认为可以获得更好的价格,更好的产品和更好的服务的地方。他们到处购物。”克拉克认为,这种差距将会扩大,零售商的表现将在最好和最弱之间两极分化。
神经扭曲的运行节日交易可能比预期的要好一些,但对此一无所知,
零售商必须非常努力地工作才能获得这些结果。因为12月25日是星期四,许多人将前几天作为假期,并度过了一周的最佳时间。谁能责怪他们迟到了,
已付款的价值信息
购物者重视价值。圣诞节购物者涌向诸如
Super for Supermarkets消费者认为杂货店的非食品产品提供了物有所值的事实,
为节日的欢呼声提供了帮助。尽管英国媒体对乐购在所有连锁超市中销售最弱的事实做出了很大的贡献,但它仍然实现了
2.5%的同比增长,同时在该行业中的销售额最高。格拉德斯通说:“所有的杂货店都能够展示出价值。这不一定是最便宜的食品,而是高质量的价格。”然而,应该指出的是,超市受到通货膨胀的帮助。
中期市场的不幸那些在桌子底部苦苦挣扎的零售商中的一些凸显了中间
市场从未如此艰难,中间市场尤其容易受到现金短缺家庭不断变化的购物习惯的影响。桑德斯说:“他们是商业街的老后卫,现在很难获得增长
在中间市场。“。玛莎百货和下一个证明了这个行业正在遭受痛苦。但是,桑德斯补充道:“尽管下一个公司的喜欢和整体增长都很糟糕,但它在盈利能力方面并没有下降很多,因为它的利润率管理得很好。”
没有时间治疗
现在不是吃零食的时候。玛莎百货食品销售的下降只是购物者省钱决心的一个指标。在其他地方,Thortos的销量下滑,Majestic Wie的销量下滑,因为购物者抵制香槟和美酒。尽管迄今为止,奢侈品市场在支出低迷中表现出了更大的弹性,但也有变化的迹象。奢侈品珠宝零售商TheoFeell受到沉重打击,因为同类销售额在13周内下降了21%,而Brberry报告称,由于迄今为止强劲的交易声明,销售额下降了3%。
孩子们没事了
即使父母没有,年轻的购物者也在坚定地消费,事实证明,对于New Look,JD Sports,Blue Inc,Asos和Republic来说,这是一个非常好的圣诞节。Mothercare的出色圣诞节表现也表明父母仍然花费钱在孩子身上。然而,当谈到自己时,他们抵制了诱惑,因为其他针对年龄较大的购物者的时尚品牌,例如雅克·维特和Alexon,经历了一次喜欢的下跌。
仍然是惊喜的房间
其中包括Debehams,当许多人期望它们暴跌时,那里的销售异常强劲。桑德斯说:“要实现正增长,而像这样的人只会略有下滑,这是一个非常好的表现。他们在他们的商店做了很多事情,他们已经改进了他们的范围。“与此同时,在陷入困境的大型行业中,Comet的同类仅下降了2.5%,而DSGi的下跌了12%。这可能反映了Comet在客户服务方面的投资及其广泛的产品范围,因为大型商店的比例高于竞争对手DSGi。
注意事项
商店关闭将影响结果。例如,有些人可能会感到惊讶,尽管去年销售不佳并发出盈利预警,但Jessops的销售额却增长了3.1%,位居榜首。但是相机专家已经关闭了表现不佳的商店,因此必须将其考虑在内。此外,克拉克补充说,当Waitrose和Peacocs等公司根据两周的交易期显示结果时,将一个零售商与另一个零售商进行比较可能会很棘手,而Next则基于21周。
向前看
大量折扣为许多零售商挽救了一天在圣诞节期间,但哈德森警告说,他们今年必须更加谨慎。他说:“交易将继续困难,因此利润率将变得越来越薄。”格拉德斯通补充说,购物者对价格的看法将至关重要。“他们必须相信自己正在获得他说:“今年的喜庆结果比以往任何时候都更加证明,强大的多渠道影响力对成功至关重要。但是零售商可以感到安慰的是,无论在2009年圣诞节前夕看起来多么糟糕,纽约市总是会说情况会更糟。
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