商品期权市场策略周报
OptionMarketStrategyReport 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 要点： 作者：金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号：F0268914(从业)Z0002616(投资咨询)联系方式：010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 【行情复盘】 商品期权各标的多数上涨，波动延续高位，市场风险偏好回升。期权市场方面，商品期权成交量整体出现下降。目前菜籽粕期权、铁矿石期权、苯乙烯期权、尿素期权、铜期权等认沽合约成交最为活跃,而PVC期权、硅铁期权、橡胶期权、工业硅期权、合成橡胶期权等则在认购期权上交投更为积极。在持仓PCR方面,铜期权、纯碱期权、苯乙烯期权、铁矿石期权、白银期权等处于高位,PVC期权、苹果期权、碳酸锂期权、橡胶期权、工业硅期权等期权品种则处于相对低位。 作者：金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号：F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式：fengshidian@foundersc.com 【交易策略】 成文时间：2024年5月19日星期日 近期大宗商品市场波动剧烈，预计未来将延续。此外，近十年来，5月下跌概率较大，建议近期涨幅较大的品种高位要注意盈利保护。 多头趋势品种:白银、铝、豆二、铜、塑料、豆粕、甲醇、菜油、硅铁、烧碱、尿素、PVC、豆油、锌 空头或反转：苹果、短纤、LPG、PX、PTA 高波动品种有：硅铁、白银、铜、锰硅、铝、螺纹、黄金、棉花、橡胶、铁矿石、锌 目录 一、豆粕期权(M).............................................................................................................................................2二、白糖期权(SR).............................................................................................................................................6三、铜期权(CU)..............................................................................................................................................10四、玉米期权(C).............................................................................................................................................15五、棉花期权(CF)...........................................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU)..........................................................................................................................................22七、铁矿石期权(I)..........................................................................................................................................26八、PTA期权(TA)...........................................................................................................................................31九、甲醇期权(MA).........................................................................................................................................34十、黄金期权(AU)..........................................................................................................................................38十一、菜籽粕期权(RM).................................................................................................................................42十二、聚丙烯期权(PP)...................................................................................................................................46十三、塑料期权(L).........................................................................................................................................50十四、PVC期权(V).........................................................................................................................................54十五、铝期权(AL)...........................................................................................................................................58十六、锌期权(ZN)..........................................................................................................................................62十七、棕榈油期权(P).....................................................................................................................................67十八、原油期权(SC).......................................................................................................................................70十九、豆一期权(A)........................................................................................................................................74二十、豆二期权(B).........................................................................................................................................78二十一、豆油期权(Y).....................................................................................................................................82二十二、花生期权(PK)...................................................................................................................................86 二十三、菜油期权(OI)...................................................................................................................................90二十四、工业硅期权(SI)................................................................................................................................94二十五、白银期权(AG)..................................................................................................................................98二十六、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................................102二十七、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................................106二十八、苯乙烯期权(EB).............................................................................................................................110二十九、碳酸锂期权(LC).............................................................................................................................114三十、合成橡胶期权(BR).........................................................
