
美联储降息时点仍需等待,证监会严厉打击股市恶意做空行为 2024-02-06 外汇期货 鲍威尔:美联储可能等到3月后再降息 美联储主席鲍威尔强调了3月不会降息,再次向市场引导了短期不降息的预期,美元指数短期震荡。 股指期货 证监会严厉打击恶意股市恶意做空行为 上证指数再创新低,市场股灾式下跌的格局未变。整体资本市场生态的健康与否以及中国营商环境的公平与否是市场最核心的关切。本轮股市下跌正是这一系列问题的集中体现。 黑色金属 伊朗前9个月铁精粉产量同比增长6% 基本面角度尚未到验证期,短期价格更多跟随周围资产情绪波动。节前资金避险情绪较重,建议轻仓观望为主。节后需求兑现仍需要警惕,整体风险尚未释放完毕。 有色金属 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 淡水河谷23年第四季度镍产量同比减少5.3% 印尼24年镍矿供应仍有待观察,对镍产业发展政策的调整可能主要体现在二级镍的减产上。综合来看,年前资金避险离场下,纯镍价格单边建议暂时观望。 能源化工 伊朗Bushehr165万吨/年甲醇装置正在重启中 甲醇在此位置交易难度较大,单边建议观望。而春节之后司机返岗,港口偏紧的问题可通过内地补充来解决,关注5-9月差逢高做缩。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、外汇期货(美元指数)....................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................41.3、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................52、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、贵金属(黄金)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................62.3、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................72.4、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................72.5、有色金属(铜)................................................................................................................................................................82.6、有色金属(碳酸锂)........................................................................................................................................................92.7、有色金属(工业硅)........................................................................................................................................................92.8、有色金属(镍)..............................................................................................................................................................102.9、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................102.10、有色金属(铝)............................................................................................................................................................102.11、能源化工(电力)........................................................................................................................................................112.12、能源化工(液化石油气)............................................................................................................................................112.13、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................122.14、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................122.15、能源化工(LLDPE/PP)................................................................................................................................................132.16、能源化工(甲醇)........................................................................................................................................................132.17、能源化工(苯乙烯)....................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................142.19、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................142.20、农产品(豆粕)............................................................................................................................................................152.21、农产品(豆油/棕榈油)..............................................................................................................................................15 2.22、农产品(玉米淀粉).........................................................................................................................................