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来自俄罗斯的爱:莫斯科如何讨好全球南方

文化传媒 2023-12-01 亚开行 💤 👏
报告封面

Kadri LiikDecember 2023 SUMMARY Russia  s war on Ukraine has locked Moscow and the West in a contest for global support.Both would like the rest of the world to side with them against the other. But they are both likely to ultimately realise that the rest of the world is not swayed bynarratives, but by pragmatic engagement. This type of transactional relationship comes easier to Moscow than it does to the West, asevidenced by Russia  s past outreach efforts. Since the beginning of the war though, Russia has become a one-issue country with all itsforeign relationships now subordinate to the war effort. Russia  s resources to engage with different regional agendas and partners  needs haveshrunk and it is compensating by doubling down on propaganda. The war has forcedMoscow to audit its foreign policy priorities and caused policy changes on several files. The West has an opportunity to profit from Russia  s weakened position in this context. Butit needs to learn to adapt its normative positions to a more pragmatic approach that focuseson its partners  as well as its own  needs. It was a few months into Russia  s war on Ukraine when reaching out to the global southbecame a topic of discussion in the West. Having been shocked by the invasion, Europespeedily heaped new sanctions on Russia, bussed millions of Ukrainian refugees to safety,and scrambled to send arms to Kyiv. By summer 2022, though, when Russia had retreatedfrom the outskirts of Kyiv and the West began to consider its longer-term strategy regardingthe war that by then was there to stay, winning over the rest of the world emerged as one ofthe ideas. The idea has both a symbolic and a practical dimension. If the non-Western worldcondemned Russia as wholeheartedly as the West does, Moscow would be isolated and mayrealise that it had reached a dead end. Furthermore, if the non-Western world joined the Westin imposing sanctions on Russia, this would soon affect Russia  s war-waging ability. Meanwhile, Russia is doing the same, trying to solicit the support of the non-Western worldand rally it against the West. This is clear in most of President Vladimir Putin  s speeches thesedays, in which he castigates the West and invites the global majorityto rise up against it.  Itis obvious that the model of globalisation, w