
2023-12-22 外汇期货 美国上周初请失业金人数低于预期 美国3季度GDP增速不及预期,同时PCE明显不及预期,美元指数走弱。 联系人 股指期货 李玲慧高级分析师(FOF研究)从业资格号:F03107545Tel:Email:linghui.li@orientfutures.com 全国住建会议召开:明年将因城施策一城一策,实现供求平衡 12月21日A股市场创下阶段性新低后随即反弹,市场成交略有放量。总体而言,近期市场情绪仍难言乐观,政策端积极因素的兑现仍需更多资金入场巩固。 国债期货 央行单日净投放1590亿元。 由于贷款加权平均利率降幅明显更高,商业银行净息差承压,降低存款利率是有必要的。广谱利率仍在下行通道中 贵金属 美国第三季度实际GDP年化季率终值升4.9% 金价震荡上涨表现偏强,三季度美国GDP终值下修至4.9%,消费支出从3.6%下修至3.1%,核心PCE也从2.3%修正至2%,表明三季度经济增长并非特别强劲。 黑色金属 扫描二维码,微信关注“东证繁微”小程序 11月我国工程机械总体开工率60.18% 本周五大品种累库速度略有加快,依然体现在建材的累库上。由于需求季节性下滑速度加快,累库也在预期之内,卷板需求维持韧性。近期政策预期仍偏积极,对钢价有向上驱动。 能源化工 本周PVC行业开工率小幅下降 西北的严寒天气影响了运输,使得本周PVC社会库存去化。同时受天气影响,PVC行业开工率也小幅下滑。整体而言,PVC基本面变动有限。 目录 1、金融要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................41.1、外汇期货(美元指数)....................................................................................................................................................41.2、股指期货(美股)............................................................................................................................................................41.3、股指期货(沪深300/中证500/中证1000)..................................................................................................................51.4、国债期货(5年期国债/10年期国债)..........................................................................................................................62、商品要闻及点评.................................................................................................................................................................62.1、贵金属(黄金)................................................................................................................................................................62.2、黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)...................................................................................................................................................72.3、黑色金属(铁矿石)........................................................................................................................................................82.4、黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)......................................................................................................................................82.5、有色金属(碳酸锂)........................................................................................................................................................92.6、有色金属(工业硅)........................................................................................................................................................92.7、有色金属(镍)..............................................................................................................................................................102.8、有色金属(氧化铝)......................................................................................................................................................112.9、有色金属(铝)..............................................................................................................................................................112.10、能源化工(原油)........................................................................................................................................................112.11、能源化工(碳排放)....................................................................................................................................................122.12、能源化工(天然气)....................................................................................................................................................122.13、能源化工(LLDPE/PP)................................................................................................................................................132.14、能源化工(甲醇)........................................................................................................................................................132.15、能源化工(苯乙烯)....................................................................................................................................................142.16、能源化工(PX)............................................................................................................................................................142.17、能源化工(PTA)..........................................................................................................................................................142.18、能源化工(纸浆)........................................................................................................................................................152.19、能源化工(PVC)..........................................................................................................................................................152.20、能源化工(纯碱)........................................................................................................................................................16 2.21、能源化工(玻璃)..................................