您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [方正中期期货]:商品期权市场全景数据报告 - 发现报告

商品期权市场全景数据报告

2023-11-13 牛秋乐,冯世佃 方正中期期货 坚守此念
报告封面

OptionMarketDataReport 投资咨询业务资格:京证监许可【2012】75号 要点: 作者:金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号:F0268914 (从业)Z0002616 (投资咨询)联系方式:010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 今日商品期权各标的大面积收绿,碳酸锂、化工等期权品种跌幅靠前。期权市场方面,商品期权成交量整体出现下降。目前铜期权、白糖期权、铝期权、纯碱期权、玉米期权等认沽合约成交最为活跃,而硅铁期权、橡胶期权、碳酸锂期权、烧碱期权、乙二醇期权等则在认购期权上交投更为积极。在持仓PCR方面,铁矿石期权、纯碱期权、苹果期权、白糖期权、铜期权等处于高位,碳酸锂期权、PVC期权、乙二醇期权、原油期权、橡胶期权等期权品种则处于相对低位。在波动率方面,目前各个品种期权隐波走势分化,整体处于历史均值下方。 作者:金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号:F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式:fengshidian@foundersc.com 成文时间:2023年11月13日星期一 上周以来期权各标的波动明显加大,当前短线市场偏好下降。从中长期来看,随着国内经济回暖,国内品种方面,预计未来大概率也是以震荡抬升为主。或可回调做多,谨慎追涨。海外宏观方面,美联储11月不加息落地,年内加息概率也较小,本轮加息已近尾声。但明年二季度或才迎来首次降息。与海外关联度较高的品种,单边期货持仓的投资者建议利用期权保险或备兑策略做好风险管理。 具体品种来看,参与波段趋势性行情的投资者,多头趋势可关注铁矿石、螺纹等品种。空头趋势品种有:合成橡胶、棉花、碳酸锂、花生、原油。 参与波动率交易投资者,可关注近期日内及日间高波动的相关品种。日内高波动品种有:纯碱、锰硅、塑料、碳酸锂、硅铁、PVC、聚丙烯、LPG、花生、白银、白糖等;近期日间高波动品种则有纯碱、碳酸锂、菜粕、合成橡胶、豆粕等。 目录 市场数据汇总................................................................................................................................3一、豆粕期权(M)...........................................................................................................................6二、白糖期权(SR)..........................................................................................................................9三、铜期权(CU)...........................................................................................................................12四、玉米期权(C)..........................................................................................................................15五、棉花期权(CF)........................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU).......................................................................................................................21七、铁矿石期权(I).......................................................................................................................24八、PTA期权(TA).........................................................................................................................27九、甲醇期权(MA)......................................................................................................................30十、黄金期权(AU).......................................................................................................................33十一、菜籽粕期权(RM)...............................................................................................................36十二、LPG期权(PG)....................................................................................................................39十三、聚丙烯期权(PP)................................................................................................................42十四、塑料期权(L)......................................................................................................................45十五、PVC期权(V).......................................................................................................................48十六、铝期权(AL)........................................................................................................................51十七、锌期权(ZN)........................................................................................................................54 商品期权市场全景数据报告 十八、棕榈油期权(P)..................................................................................................................57十九、原油期权(SC)....................................................................................................................60二十、豆一期权(A)......................................................................................................................63二十一、豆二期权(B)..................................................................................................................66二十二、豆油期权(Y)..................................................................................................................69二十三、花生期权(PK)................................................................................................................72二十四、菜油期权(OI).................................................................................................................75二十五、工业硅期权(SI)..............................................................................................................78二十六、白银期权(AG)................................................................................................................81二十七、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................84二十八、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................87二十九、苯乙烯期权(EB)............................................................................................................90三十、碳酸锂期权(LC)................................................................................................................93三十一、合成橡胶期权(BR)........................................................................................................96三十二、PX期权(PX)....