商品期权市场全景数据报告

OptionMarketDataReport 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 要点： 作者：金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号：F0268914 (从业)Z0002616 (投资咨询)联系方式：010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 今日商品期权各标的多数收涨，油脂大幅反弹。期权市场方面，商品期权成交量整体出现下降。目前白糖期权、铜期权、玉米期权、铁矿石期权、豆粕期权等认沽合约成交最为活跃,而硅铁期权、碳酸锂期权、橡胶期权、PVC期权、乙二醇期权等则在认购期权上交投更为积极。在持仓PCR方面,铁矿石期权、白糖期权、铜期权、豆粕期权、锌期权等处于高位,PVC期权、乙二醇期权、碳酸锂期权、LPG期权、棕榈油期权等期权品种则处于相对低位。在波动率方面,目前各个品种期权隐波走势分化,整体处于历史均值下方。 作者：金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号：F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式：fengshidian@foundersc.com 本周以来国内商品市场涨跌不一，波动整体开始减弱，铁矿涨幅靠前，苹果、原油则跌幅较大。受消息面影响，短线市场风险偏好大幅上升，大宗商品反弹。从中长期来看，随着国内经济回暖，国内品种方面，预计未来大概率也是以底部震荡抬升为主。建议回调做多，谨慎追涨。海外宏观方面，9月不加息落地，11月大概率仍不加息。年内加息概率仍有30%。明年二季度或才迎来首次降息。与海外关联度较高的品种，单边期货持仓的投资者建议利用期权保险或备兑策略做好风险管理。具体品种来看，参与波段趋势性行情的投资者，可关注原油、苯乙烯、LPG、橡胶、油脂油料、棉花、白糖、铁矿石、黄金等品种。参与波动率交易投资者，可把握日间、日内Gamma机会，可关注原油、LPG、PTA、黄金、两粕等期权品种。 成文时间：2023年10月26日星期四 目录 市场数据汇总................................................................................................................................3一、豆粕期权(M)...........................................................................................................................6二、白糖期权(SR)..........................................................................................................................9三、铜期权(CU)...........................................................................................................................12四、玉米期权(C)..........................................................................................................................15五、棉花期权(CF)........................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU).......................................................................................................................21七、铁矿石期权(I).......................................................................................................................24八、PTA期权(TA).........................................................................................................................27九、甲醇期权(MA)......................................................................................................................30十、黄金期权(AU).......................................................................................................................33十一、菜籽粕期权(RM)...............................................................................................................36十二、LPG期权(PG)....................................................................................................................39十三、聚丙烯期权(PP)................................................................................................................42十四、塑料期权(L)......................................................................................................................45十五、PVC期权(V).......................................................................................................................48十六、铝期权(AL)........................................................................................................................51十七、锌期权(ZN)........................................................................................................................54 商品期权市场全景数据报告 十八、棕榈油期权(P)..................................................................................................................57十九、原油期权(SC)....................................................................................................................60二十、豆一期权(A)......................................................................................................................63二十一、豆二期权(B)..................................................................................................................66二十二、豆油期权(Y)..................................................................................................................69二十三、花生期权(PK)................................................................................................................72二十四、菜油期权(OI).................................................................................................................75二十五、工业硅期权(SI)..............................................................................................................78二十六、白银期权(AG)................................................................................................................81二十七、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................84二十八、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................87二十九、苯乙烯期权(EB)............................................................................................................90三十、碳酸锂期权(LC)................................................................................................................93三十一、合成橡胶期权(BR)........................................................................................................96三十二、PX期权(PX)...............................