商品期权市场策略周报

OptionMarketStrategyReport 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 要点： 作者：金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号：F0268914(从业)Z0002616(投资咨询)联系方式：010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 国庆节前商品期权各标的多数下跌。国庆期间，外海市场整体风险偏好下降，市场避险情绪较高，原油大跌近10%，豆粕、锌、白银、棕榈油等跌幅也超4%。目前市场正在评估强劲的就业市场数据及其对美联储政策的影响。美国9月非农就业数据远超预期，强化了美联储今年加息并长期维持高利率政策的理由。 作者：金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号：F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式：fengshidian@foundersc.com 总的来看，当前市场风险偏好下降。国庆节期间海外原油波动相对较大。节后油脂油料、能源化工类期权品种注意风险防范。此外，节后从中长期来看，随着国内经济回暖，国内品种方面，预计未来大概率还是以底部震荡抬升为主。建议回调做多，谨慎追涨。海外宏观仍存较大不确定性，9月不加息落地，年内还有一次加息的可能。明年二季度甚至明年下半年或才迎来降息。与海外关联度较高的品种，单边期货持仓的投资者建议利用期权保险策略做好风险管理。具体品种来看，参与波段趋势性行情的投资者，可关注原油、苯乙烯、LPG、油脂油料、棉花、白糖、铁矿石、黄金等品种。参与波动率交易投资者，可把握日间、日内Gamma机会，可关注原油、苯乙烯、LPG、铁矿、两粕等期权品种。 成文时间：2023年10月8日星期日 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 目录 一、豆粕期权(M).............................................................................................................................................2二、白糖期权(SR).............................................................................................................................................6三、铜期权(CU)..............................................................................................................................................10四、玉米期权(C).............................................................................................................................................14五、棉花期权(CF)...........................................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU)..........................................................................................................................................22七、铁矿石期权(I)..........................................................................................................................................26八、PTA期权(TA)...........................................................................................................................................30九、甲醇期权(MA).........................................................................................................................................34十、黄金期权(AU)..........................................................................................................................................38十一、菜籽粕期权(RM).................................................................................................................................42十二、LPG期权(PG).......................................................................................................................................46十三、聚丙烯期权(PP)...................................................................................................................................50十四、塑料期权(L).........................................................................................................................................54十五、PVC期权(V).........................................................................................................................................58十六、铝期权(AL)...........................................................................................................................................62十七、锌期权(ZN)..........................................................................................................................................66十八、棕榈油期权(P).....................................................................................................................................70十九、原油期权(SC).......................................................................................................................................74二十、豆一期权(A)........................................................................................................................................78二十一、豆二期权(B).....................................................................................................................................82二十二、豆油期权(Y).....................................................................................................................................86 二十三、花生期权(PK)...................................................................................................................................90二十四、菜油期权(OI)...................................................................................................................................94二十五、工业硅期权(SI)................................................................................................................................98二十六、白银期权(AG)................................................................................................................................102二十七、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................................106二十八、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................................110二十九、苯乙烯期权(EB)..........................................................................................................................