短線策略入巿水平目標水平止蝕水平中線觀點上日收巿52周高位52周低位S-Term StrategyReference LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W Low買入(BUY)0.70.72690.6889中性 Neutral0.70130.74360.59351. 市場憧憬今年經濟復蘇引起的通脹，持續的風險偏好動力，以及新西蘭央行偏鷹風險正在增加，意味紐元強勢。2. 不過由於預期隨著美國收益率上升，美匯指數於未來6至12個月轉強，我們略為調低紐元兌美元預測。貨幣紐元兌美元 NZD/USD0.6400.6600.6800.7000.7200.7400.76010/2012/2002/2104/212022112The Mid Term View and S-Term Strategy are pointed at the Base Currency(Initial display currency). e.g. if the Mid Term View of USD/JPY is Bullish, it means Bullish on USD; if the S-Term Strategy of USD/JPY is SELL, it means selling the USD and buying the JPY.5252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowBUY0.7180.740.698Neutral0.72100.80070.6993 Weekly PickAUD/USD7.3%，連續第二個月超過預期。0.650.670.690.710.730.750.770.7907/2109/2111/215252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowSELL9694.697Neutral95.62596.9489.54USD,，並表示必要時會在更長時期內更多次地加息412月ISM製造業PMI降至58.7，創自2021年以來新低5. 巿場憧憬聯儲局或增加加息次數，帶動美國10年期國債孳息率一度升穿1.8厘。88909294969807/2109/2111/2101/225252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowBUY1.131.151.11Neutral1.13661.22851.1186 EUR/USD2. 明年第二季將資產購買計劃(APP)規模提高至每月400億歐羅，以平抑PEPP的退出。2PMI5. 去年11月零售銷售按月增長1%，高於巿場預期的下跌0.5%。1.081.11.121.141.161.181.21.221.2407/2109/2111/21 短線策略入巿水平目標水平止蝕水平中線觀點上日收巿52周高位52周低位S-Term StrategyReference LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W Low買入(BUY)0.70.72690.6889中性 Neutral0.70130.74360.59351. 市場憧憬今年經濟復蘇引起的通脹，持續的風險偏好動力，以及新西蘭央行偏鷹風險正在增加，意味紐元強勢。2. 不過由於預期隨著美國收益率上升，美匯指數於未來6至12個月轉強，我們略為調低紐元兌美元預測。貨幣紐元兌美元 NZD/USD0.6400.6600.6800.7000.7200.7400.76010/2012/2002/2104/215252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowBUY1.361.381.34Neutral1.36331.42481.3163 GBP/USD0.1厘不變1.281.31.321.341.361.381.41.4207/2109/2111/215252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowBUY0.6750.6950.655Neutral0.67830.74650.6702NZD/USD0.640.650.660.670.680.690.70.710.720.7307/2109/2111/215252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowSELL1.2631.241.28Neutral1.25781.29641.2007USD/CAD 3.8281.223.523.721.181.21.221.241.261.281.31.3207/2109/2111/21 短線策略入巿水平目標水平止蝕水平中線觀點上日收巿52周高位52周低位S-Term StrategyReference LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W Low買入(BUY)0.70.72690.6889中性 Neutral0.70130.74360.59351. 市場憧憬今年經濟復蘇引起的通脹，持續的風險偏好動力，以及新西蘭央行偏鷹風險正在增加，意味紐元強勢。2. 不過由於預期隨著美國收益率上升，美匯指數於未來6至12個月轉強，我們略為調低紐元兌美元預測。貨幣紐元兌美元 NZD/USD0.6400.6600.6800.7000.7200.7400.76010/2012/2002/2104/215252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowSELL115.5113.5117.5Neutral115.33116.35103.33USD/JPY4.8%，創自254.3，連續11個月增長5. 510210410610811011211411611812007/2109/2111/215252S-Term StrategyRef erence LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W LowSELL6.3856.346.45Neutral6.3786.58766.3305 USD/CNH6.26.36.46.56.66.707/2109/2111/21 短線策略入巿水平目標水平止蝕水平中線觀點上日收巿52周高位52周低位S-Term StrategyReference LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W Low買入(BUY)0.70.72690.6889中性 Neutral0.70130.74360.59351. 市場憧憬今年經濟復蘇引起的通脹，持續的風險偏好動力，以及新西蘭央行偏鷹風險正在增加，意味紐元強勢。2. 不過由於預期隨著美國收益率上升，美匯指數於未來6至12個月轉強，我們略為調低紐元兌美元預測。貨幣紐元兌美元 NZD/USD0.6400.6600.6800.7000.7200.7400.76010/2012/2002/2104/2101/09/2022 01/151250.0b--1270.0b1273.2b01/10/2022 01/14-----18.00%--01/10/2022 08:00--0.20%0.30%--01/10/2022 08:303.00%3.60%-12.90%--01/10/2022 18:007.20%7.20%7.30%--01/10/2022 23:001.20%1.40%1.20%--01/11/2022 08:303.50%7.30%4.90%--01/11/2022 08:30A$10700mA$9423mA$11220m--01/11/2022 13:00102.9103101.5--01/12/2022 07:50¥585.0b¥897.3b¥1180.1b--01/12/2022 09:301.70%1.50%2.30%--01/12/2022 09:3011.30%10.30%12.90%--01/12/2022 20:00Jan-07-----5.60%--01/12/2022 21:307.10%--6.80%--01/13/2022 05:45-----2.00%-1.90%01/13/2022 14:00----64.00%--01/13/2022 21:30Jan-08----207k--01/13/2022 21:300.40%--0.80%--01/13/2022 21:30Jan-01----1754k--01/13/2022 21:309.80%--9.60%--01/13/2022 21:308.00%--7.70%--01/14/2022$73.40b--$71.72b--01/14/202220.00%--22.00%--01/14/202228.00%--31.70%--01/14/2022 07:508.80%--9.00%--01/14/2022 15:00-----0.60%--01/14/2022 15:00----0.00%--01/14/2022 15:00----1.40%--01/14/2022 15:00----1.30%--01/14/2022 21:300.00%--0.30%--01/14/2022 21:300.30%--0.70%--01/14/2022 22:150.30%--0.50%--01/14/2022 23:0070.2--70.6--0.250.000.250.100.750.25-0.101.502022120222月20223月20224月20225月20226月20227月20228月20229月202210月202211月202212月4.903.906.803.90-0.30 3.971.204.906.804.905.103.004.904.700.602.304.207.304.204.603.406.002.805.00-2.95 1.95-2.67 0.63-3.35 -1.79 3.440.7258.7058.0057.9057.7050.6056.5054.3050.90 短線策略入巿水平目標水平止蝕水平中線觀點上日收巿52周高位52周低位S-Term StrategyReference LevelTarget LevelStop-Loss LevelMid Term ViewLast Day Closing52W High52W Low買入(BUY)0.70.72690.6